The Scenario Machine
Six economic positions. Fifteen Ontario regions. Fourteen tunable parameters. Configure any combination and see what the housing framework produces -- compared to the current system -- across a time horizon you choose.
Companion to
Now Adults In The Room and Forced Markets. Every output traces to a specific assumption. Adjust any parameter to test sensitivity.
This is an interpretation, not a prediction. The simulation runs the framework's mechanisms against the inputs you provide, using the parameters you can adjust below. Every output traces to a specific assumption. Output is what these specific assumptions produce -- neither more nor less.
Position
Median household income: $75,000 · SAHIB: $3,125/mo
What this position is and is not modeling
Wealth-at-horizon under-represents the framework's effect for this position. The primary impact is moving the household from monthly cashflow deficit (going into debt to survive under current system) to monthly breakeven or modest positive cashflow under the framework. Watch the cashflow row -- that's where the framework's real effect on this position shows.
Under the framework
$12,208
Household at year 10
Current system
$2,220
Household at year 10
Monthly cashflow (framework, Y0)
+$88
After rent, needs, dependents, debt
Monthly cashflow (current, Y0)
$-860
After rent, needs, dependents, debt
Wealth accumulation over time
Comparison — framework vs. current system
5-yr divergence
+$4,024
10-yr divergence
+$9,988
10-yr divergence
+$9,988
Region: South-central north (Sault Ste. Marie). Time horizon: 10 years. All parameters traceable in the model parameters panel above. Output is an interpretation of these specific assumptions — adjust any parameter to test sensitivity.
The Scenario Machine is part of the newfreemarket.org project. Companion to Now Adults In The Room and Forced Markets. The framework's methodology is reusable across future policy doctrines; this is the housing instantiation.